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I thought it might be reassuring to share some of the data around Covid risk that we don't seem to see in the news. While it is undoubtedly a serious health concern for some at the moment, it is also important to keep the risk in perspective for the sake of personal mental health wellbeing. … View moreI thought it might be reassuring to share some of the data around Covid risk that we don't seem to see in the news. While it is undoubtedly a serious health concern for some at the moment, it is also important to keep the risk in perspective for the sake of personal mental health wellbeing. Despite what seems to make the news, we are very unlikely to die from this virus, or even show serious to critical symptoms. The following link is the raw data on country statistics comparing testing rates, case fatality rates, recovery rates for the 5 million reported cases so far www.worldometers.info... . You can see how NZ ranks globally on these metrics (somewhere in the middle of 215 countries for most measures). The data focuses on reported cases, which as the following link explains, overestimates frequency for the worst case outcomes. The link goes to the Oxford University Centre for Evidence Based Medicine (do your own research on how credible you think they are) which analyses the case data, and uses health records and studies on what was known about SARS/ MERS/ Swine flu to estimate what the Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) for Covid-19 is likely to be (as opposed to the less reliable Case Fatality Rate (CFR)) www.cebm.net... . Draw your own conclusions but these sites show either factual information or use data science to provide a risk profile. In summary the estimated IFR for Covid is between 0.1% to 0.41% (i.e. chance of survival 99.6-99.9% for person selected at random). While this is also age dependent, the estimated IFR for otherwise healthy 70+ age group is still likely less than 1%. Some interesting points also made about selection bias, and coding of cases and outcomes that skew the reported results.
A year after losing an aircraft in a crash Taranaki's dedicated air ambulance service is flying more…
Good to see this work progressing well but I remain concerned that there is no decision on new speed limit. Apparently now part of national exercise. Recommended new limit is 30kph. Looking again at speed limits around Moturoa and noting the numerous schools, kindergartens, shops plus poor road … View moreGood to see this work progressing well but I remain concerned that there is no decision on new speed limit. Apparently now part of national exercise. Recommended new limit is 30kph. Looking again at speed limits around Moturoa and noting the numerous schools, kindergartens, shops plus poor road alignment perhaps this should be extended from Bonithon Avenue to Bayly Road. What do you think?
Brand new Condition
Author: Sarah Mlynowski
Can be delivered to anywhere in NZ for the cost of postage.
In good condition
Author: Sarah Mlynowski
Can be delivered to anywhere in NZ for the cost of postage.
In good condition
Author: Sarah Mlynowski
Can be delivered to anywhere in NZ for the cost of postage.
Hot chicken and fresh salad 4 the easy dinner? Apples and a loaf of bread 4 the lunchbox panic? Bacon and eggs 4 breakfast in bed?
Whether it’s easy munches, school lunches or Sunday brunches, your Four Square has everything you need to keep life nice, easy and local.
Four Square. Just … View moreHot chicken and fresh salad 4 the easy dinner? Apples and a loaf of bread 4 the lunchbox panic? Bacon and eggs 4 breakfast in bed?
Whether it’s easy munches, school lunches or Sunday brunches, your Four Square has everything you need to keep life nice, easy and local.
Four Square. Just what you need, right nearby.
With so many of us spending more time at home due to the COVID-19 pandemic, many people’s energy bills are skyrocketing. But it doesn’t have to be that way.
Here are 5 simple, easy to implement ideas and tips for cutting down your domestic power bills to save yourself some cash.
Business owners consistently show initiative, hard work and resilience - and more than ever over the past few weeks.
Prosper has launched a small business survey to gauge the scale of Covid-19's impact.
It'll only take a few minutes to complete - and will help us, help small … View moreBusiness owners consistently show initiative, hard work and resilience - and more than ever over the past few weeks.
Prosper has launched a small business survey to gauge the scale of Covid-19's impact.
It'll only take a few minutes to complete - and will help us, help small businesses like yours, in weeks and months to come.
Well known New Plymouth builder and developer Willie Still's surname was really a misnomer because h…
Hey neighbours, thanks to everyone who nominated an essential worker to win one of three Resene prize packs, each including a Resene colour consultation, a $350 Resene voucher and the latest Resene fan decks.
The lucky winners are: Lee-Ann Hodgson, in Hunterville, Susannah Aho, in Auckland, and … View moreHey neighbours, thanks to everyone who nominated an essential worker to win one of three Resene prize packs, each including a Resene colour consultation, a $350 Resene voucher and the latest Resene fan decks.
The lucky winners are: Lee-Ann Hodgson, in Hunterville, Susannah Aho, in Auckland, and Chad Birt, in Titahi Bay. Congratulations!
✨NEWSFLASH✨
We have a new product launching in New Zealand on 9th June 👏
Increase Sirtuin activity for increased health, focus, energy and so much more!
Interested? Give me a buzz 😊
#NAD
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