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Manu from Manu Thapar - Barfoot & Thompson

What the property market holds in store for 2019

Auckland home buyers need to get in quick - city house prices could leap to record highs by this time next year, one property pundit predicts.

Infometrics economist Paul Barkle says that while Auckland house prices have stagnated for close to two years they are set for an almost 10 per cent jump next year followed by sustained increases through to mid-2022.

Behind the forecast price rise is an acute shortage of houses. By Barkle's estimate the city needs at least 45,000 more homes.

But the news is not so rosy for homeowners outside the Super City, with national prices poised to ease next year from current record highs.

"By the end of next year we expect house prices in Auckland to be 9 per cent higher than in December 2018 compared to a slight decline in national prices of roughly 1 per cent over the same period," Barkle said.

Should Barkle's forecast play out, it would push Auckland property values to new highs.

Last month, the city's median price reached $867,000 - or 3.7 per cent below the record price of $900,000 set in March 2017, according to the Real Estate Institute of NZ.

National house prices, meanwhile, are already at record highs with a November median price of $575,000.

Not all pundits agree with Barkle's upbeat forecast.

Devon Funds managing director Slade Robertson said New Zealand's housing market was due for a fall, with the real question being: 'Will it be a crash or a correction?'

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More messages from your neighbours
1 hour ago

Five winners this week...

The Team from Neighbourly.co.nz

Congratulations to these winners of our $100 Warehouse vouchers:

Damon Facoory from Whanganui

Rachelle Reihana from Frankton

Sonia Columb from Aranui

Elise Volwieler from Motueka

Vera Zheng from Te Atatu

Winners, claim your $100 Warehouse voucher before 13 August. Get in touch here

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1 hour ago

Happy Tuesday neighbours, here's a riddle to get your mind going.

Riddler from The Neighbourly Riddler

I am beautiful, up in the sky.
I am magical, yet I cannot fly.
To some I bring luck, and to some, I bring riches.
The boy at my end does whatever he wishes.
What am I?

Do you think you know the answer to our daily riddle? Don't spoil it for your neighbours! Simply 'Like' this post and we'll post the answer in the comments below at 2pm.

Want to stop seeing riddles in your newsfeed? No worries! Simply head here and click once on the Following button.

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10 days ago

Poll: Should you ask before planting tall shrubs/trees near your property line?

The Team from Neighbourly.co.nz

It may be fine now but in a few years trees can block out light or views for neighbours.

Do you think neighbours should ask before they go ahead and plant these?

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Should you ask before planting tall shrubs/trees near your property line?
  • 69% Yes, always ask
    69% Complete
  • 29.9% No
    29.9% Complete
  • 1.1% Other - I'll share below!
    1.1% Complete
2598 votes